A surging 5-1 Bills team meets a skid-bound Ravens side in a pivotal test of ground-game strength and ball security.
At 5-1 and seeded second, Buffalo can strengthen its position, while 4-3 Baltimore arrives seeded ninth and looking to stop a two-game losing streak. The Bills have won four of their last five and rank eighth in the power index; the Ravens have dropped their last two and rank 15th. Buffalo averages 148.8 rushing yards per game, led by James Cook III's 627 yards and six rushing touchdowns, against a Baltimore defense allowing 96.6 yards on the ground per game; the Ravens counter with Derrick Henry's 579 rushing yards and seven touchdowns against a Bills defense allowing 101 rushing yards per game. Josh Allen's eight rushing touchdowns add another threat, but Buffalo's -3 turnover differential against Baltimore's +1 makes ball security a key swing factor; Lamar Jackson has 967 passing yards, six passing touchdowns and one interception.