Jacksonville’s 4-2 start and turnover edge loom large as Indianapolis arrives on a three-game skid.
Jacksonville returns to EverBank Stadium at 4-2, while the 2-5 Colts arrive after three straight losses, making this divisional matchup a chance for either team to change direction. The power index gap is stark: the Jaguars rank No. 6 at 77.2, compared with Indianapolis at No. 27 and 35.4; Jacksonville is coming off a 34-31 loss after three straight wins. Indianapolis will lean on Jonathan Taylor, whose 587 rushing yards and eight rushing touchdowns meet a Jaguars defense allowing 72.2 rushing yards per game. Ball security could decide it: the Colts have 12 giveaways and a minus-9 turnover differential, while Jacksonville has four giveaways and a plus-5 mark; Daniel Jones has thrown four touchdown passes and seven interceptions.